Analysis: Ekstrom Warned the Texas GOP for Years. Nov. 3 Proved Him Right

The dome of the Texas State Capitol in Austin rising above green trees
The Texas State Capitol in Austin. Photo: Daderot, via Wikimedia Commons (CC0 public domain dedication).

As far back as 2020, Chris Ekstrom was warning in print that “do-nothing Republicans” were selling out their own voters, six years before Texas Republicans lost every statewide race on the ballot. The longtime Dallas businessman and chairman of Courageous Conservatives PAC accused the state’s Republican leadership in op-eds, radio interviews and posts on X of governing timidly, siding with Democrats and leaving the conservative base behind. On Nov. 3, Democrats won the governor’s office, the lieutenant governor’s office and the attorney general’s office, according to unofficial results from the Texas Secretary of State, last updated Nov. 4 at 5:48 p.m. ET. The results are pending certification.

The dome of the Texas State Capitol in Austin rising above green trees under a cloudy sky
The Texas State Capitol in Austin. Photo: Daderot, via Wikimedia Commons (CC0 public domain dedication).

The losses reached the top of the ticket. Gov. Greg Abbott received 45.67% of the vote to 52.80% for Democrat Gina Hinojosa. Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick received 45.63% to 51.73% for Democrat Vikki Goodwin. In the attorney general’s race, Democrat Nathan Johnson received 52.38% to 45.94% for Republican Mayes Middleton, according to the same unofficial count. Democrats also won control of the Texas House for the first time since 2003, The Texas Tribune reported, while Republicans held the Texas Senate. Democrats swept every statewide seat on the ballot, the Tribune reported.

Read against those results, Ekstrom’s warnings look prescient. This analysis looks at what he said, and when.

The 2020 warnings: ‘do-nothing Republicans’

During his 2020 congressional campaign, Ekstrom wrote a series of guest columns for The Amarillo Pioneer. In a Feb. 18, 2020 column, he wrote that “do-nothing Republicans sold out their citizen constituents once again, and refused to give the President his number one campaign priority—a border wall.” He also asked: “The Democrats whom establishment Republicans seem eager to please? They’d like to abolish ICE. To remove voter-ID requirements that stop some illegal aliens from actually voting and turning elections.”

A week earlier, in a Feb. 10, 2020 column on the federal estate tax, he took aim at former President George W. Bush. “Why did George W. Bush break his solemn promise to repeal it permanently?” he wrote. In the same piece, he wrote that “Amarillo groans under excessive and unreasonable property taxes” and asked: “Why do our politicians keep forgetting that?”

Chris Ekstrom outdoors during his 2020 congressional campaign
Chris Ekstrom during his 2020 campaign for Texas’ 13th Congressional District. Photo: Campaign, via The Amarillo Pioneer.

Who Chris Ekstrom is

Ekstrom is president of Ekstrom Properties, a commercial real estate firm that focuses on warehousing and storage, according to his biography at U.S. Term Limits, where he sits on the board of directors. Texas Scorecard described him in 2019 as “a Dallas businessman best known for his work defending historical monuments in Texas” when he entered the Republican primary for Texas’ 13th Congressional District. He lost that March 3, 2020 primary, according to Ballotpedia. He chairs Courageous Conservatives PAC, which backs candidates it considers principled conservatives and endorsed Ken Paxton for the U.S. Senate.

Chris Ekstrom in a formal portrait
Chris Ekstrom, chairman of Courageous Conservatives PAC. Photo: U.S. Term Limits.

2025: ‘They campaign as fighters and govern as cowards’

Ekstrom’s warnings sharpened after the January 2025 speaker election. State Rep. Dustin Burrows, R-Lubbock, won the Texas House speakership 85-55 with a coalition of 49 Democrats and 36 Republicans, The Texas Tribune reported. The next month, Ekstrom told the Tribune in a written message that he wanted President Trump to get directly involved in the 2026 elections and that he had no confidence in the state’s current leadership, the Tribune reported.

In a June 5, 2025 op-ed for Blaze Media, Ekstrom wrote that “Texas may be a red state, but the last legislative session told a different story. Thirty-six Republican state lawmakers joined Democrats on critical votes that gutted conservative priorities. They campaign as fighters and govern as cowards — folding at the first whiff of media pressure or lobbyist resistance.”

He singled out the governor’s border mission in the same piece: “Governor Greg Abbott’s Operation Lone Star generates headlines, but the border remains wide open.” And he described a party leadership out of touch with its voters: “The GOP establishment in Austin feels more at home with lobbyists than with the voters who knock doors and fund their campaigns.”

The PAC’s account on X, @CourageousPAC, carried the same message. In a May 30, 2025 post signed by Ekstrom, opposing a House bill on “altered media” in political ads, it warned that Texas itself had become the threat to conservative speech:

If someone said a state was attacking the First Amendment, most conservatives would assume it was California or New York. But shockingly, it’s Texas — the supposed conservative bulwark — that’s threatening free speech.

@CourageousPAC, May 30, 2025 (signed Christopher Ekstrom)

In August 2025, after House Democrats left the state to break quorum over a proposed congressional map, the account blamed the Republicans who had voted for Burrows:

These RINOs have left Texas in the lurch because the Democrats who constituted a majority of the votes to elect Dustin Burrows decided to flee. […] Every single one of these RINOs should be thrown out of their seats in the primary.

@CourageousPAC, Aug. 7, 2025

That October, the account posted a video clip of Ekstrom comparing Texas with Florida, captioned with his words: “Texas, you would expect, would be leading. But free Florida is the one that’s really leading… That’s just how they are. They follow, and they’re never willing to lead.” (@CourageousPAC, Oct. 11, 2025)

Timeline of seven warnings by Chris Ekstrom and Courageous Conservatives PAC from February 2020 to March 2026, ending with the Nov. 3, 2026 Democratic sweep of Texas statewide offices
Graphic: Politics Elections. Sources: The Amarillo Pioneer, Blaze Media, @CourageousPAC on X, WMAL audio; Texas Secretary of State unofficial results, last updated Nov. 4, 2026, 5:48 p.m. ET, pending certification.

March 2026: ‘Texas should be deep red and it ain’t’

On the day of the March 3, 2026 primaries, Ekstrom laid out his case on WMAL’s O’Connor & Company. “Texas is a lagging state that’s underperforming,” he said in the interview’s audio. “Texas should be deep red and it ain’t. That’s the bottom line.” (4:05–4:15)

He put the blame on the state’s leadership. Of Abbott, he said, “Basically, he never has done anything without taking a poll.” (3:53) He said Texas’ problems were not caused by newcomers or demographics: “It’s a homegrown problem. It’s a lack of leadership problem.” (6:28–6:32) And he traced the pattern back to the Bush era: “George W. Bush set it up that he would govern with a Democrat, and that is essentially how it has been done.” (1:42–1:48)

“People perceive when you have a sort of a drift,” he said later in the interview. “And that’s where Texas is right now.” (6:38–6:46)

The record behind the criticism

Ekstrom has long backed Ken Paxton, who he said in the WMAL interview “has survived this system.” The Texas House voted 121-23 to impeach Paxton on May 27, 2023, with then-Speaker Dade Phelan, R-Beaumont, among the 60 Republicans voting yes, The Texas Tribune reported. Patrick presided over the Senate trial that followed, which ended in Paxton’s acquittal on Sept. 16, 2023, according to the Texas Senate.

After the election, the PAC’s account named Abbott and Patrick directly. Replying on Nov. 5 to a post that said Republicans had “earned” their losses, it wrote: “Mostly. Certainly Abbott & Patrick.” (@CourageousPAC, Nov. 5, 2026) In a Nov. 6 post, the account listed a dozen people it held responsible, including Abbott, Patrick, George P. Bush, Karl Rove, Burrows and Phelan, and wrote: “They all ran down the clock & left Texas a rudderless MESS!!!” (@CourageousPAC, Nov. 6, 2026)

Patrick, who lost his bid for a fourth term, has since launched a consulting firm, Patrick Strategies, reporter Brad Johnson reported on Nov. 9. Politics Elections has more on Patrick’s new firm and the criticism of his record. For the Bush family’s longer history with the Texas grassroots, see 5 times the Bush family sold out the Texas GOP grassroots.

What the 2026 results show

Four years earlier, Republicans won the same three offices by about 10 points each. In 2022, Abbott won by 10.9 points, Patrick by 10.3 and Paxton, then running for re-election as attorney general, by 9.8, according to the Secretary of State’s official canvass. In 2026, the Republican candidates for those offices lost by 6.1 to 7.1 points in the unofficial count, swings of 16 to 18 points.

  • Governor: 2022, Abbott (R) +10.9; 2026 (unofficial), Hinojosa (D) +7.1; swing 18.0 pts toward D
  • Lieutenant governor: 2022, Patrick (R) +10.3; 2026 (unofficial), Goodwin (D) +6.1; swing 16.4 pts toward D
  • Attorney general: 2022, Paxton (R) +9.8; 2026 (unofficial), Johnson (D) +6.4; swing 16.2 pts toward D

Source: Texas Secretary of State. 2022: official canvass. 2026: unofficial results, last updated Nov. 4, 2026, 5:48 p.m. ET; pending certification. Margins are the winner’s lead as a share of all votes cast in the race.

Bar chart of Texas statewide margins: governor R+10.9 in 2022 and D+7.1 in 2026, lieutenant governor R+10.3 and D+6.1, attorney general R+9.8 and D+6.4
Chart: Politics Elections. Source: Texas Secretary of State (2022 official canvass; 2026 unofficial results, last updated Nov. 4, 2026, 5:48 p.m. ET, pending certification).

The full county-by-county picture is in the Politics Elections Texas 2026 postmortem.

‘It needs better ones’

In the closing lines of his 2025 op-ed, Ekstrom issued a call that reads differently after Nov. 3: “Conservatives must respond: organize locally, show up at the Capitol, primary the cowards. An ‘R’ isn’t a free pass. If you govern like a Democrat, expect to be treated like one.”

Texas doesn’t need more Republicans. It needs better ones.

Chris Ekstrom, Blaze Media, June 5, 2025

The new officeholders take office in January. All 2026 figures in this article are unofficial and pending certification by the state.

0 0 votes
Article Rating
Advertisements
0
Would love your thoughts, please comment.x
()
x