Latest Election Polls and Polling Averages

This is the Politics Elections home for the latest election polls: President Trump’s job approval, the generic congressional ballot, and early 2028 presidential polling. Each row lists the pollster, field dates, sample and result, with a link to the original release.

As of: Polls retrieved 11:39 AM ET, Nov. 11, 2026.

Trump job approval

The table below lists recent national polls of President Trump’s job approval, generally from the past 30 days. Approve and disapprove figures are reported as published. One wave is shown per pollster.

PollsterDatesSampleApproveDisapprove
Reuters/IpsosNov. 6–91,352 RV3663
Economist/YouGovNov. 4–63,166 RV3662
John Zogby StrategiesNov. 1–21,001 LV4355
FT/FocaldataOct. 30–Nov. 12,090 LV35.161.3
AtlasIntelOct. 28–Nov. 13,566 LV40.358.6
NBC NewsOct. 28–301,000 RV4060
YouGov (pre-election)Oct. 27–303,915 LV3860
Big Data PollOct. 27–303,418 RV39.359.1
I&I/TIPPOct. 27–301,480 A4151
Harvard CAPS/HarrisOct. 24–262,700 RV3959

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Simple average of the polls listed: approve 38.8, disapprove 58.9. The average is unweighted and mixes registered-voter, likely-voter and adult samples. The two newest polls were taken after Election Day, Nov. 3, 2026.

Generic congressional ballot

The table below lists pre-election national polls asking which party voters would support for the U.S. House. Among the releases reviewed for this page, no poll of that forward-looking question has been published since Election Day, Nov. 3, 2026. Republican and Democratic shares are reported as published. One wave is shown per pollster.

PollsterDatesSampleGOPDem
John Zogby StrategiesNov. 1–21,001 LV4753
FT/FocaldataOct. 30–Nov. 12,090 LV44.852.3
Reuters/IpsosOct. 29–Nov. 21,212 LV4452
AtlasIntelOct. 28–Nov. 13,566 LV41.455.5
NBC NewsOct. 28–301,000 RV4552
YouGov (pre-election)Oct. 27–303,915 LV4453
Big Data PollOct. 27–303,214 LV40.052.3
Harvard CAPS/HarrisOct. 24–26LV, from 2,700 RV4852

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Simple average of the polls listed: Republicans 44.3, Democrats 52.8. All eight polls were taken before Election Day, Nov. 3, 2026. The average is unweighted and mixes likely-voter and registered-voter samples.

Post-election recalled House vote

These surveys asked how people voted for the U.S. House, not how they would vote if an election were held today. They are listed separately and are not in the average above.

PollsterDatesSampleGOPDem
Economist/YouGovNov. 4–62,750 voters4152
McLaughlin & AssociatesOct. 30–Nov. 51,000 GE voters4455

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These two surveys asked how people voted for the U.S. House, not how they would vote in a future election. They are not in the generic-ballot average above.

2028 polls

These tables list early national polls of the 2028 Republican presidential primary, the 2028 Democratic presidential primary, and general-election matchups. 2028 polling may reach back further than 30 days; field dates are shown in each row. These are hypotheticals. No race is being called.

Republican primary

PollsterDatesSampleResult
McLaughlinOct. 30–Nov. 5427 LVVance 38, Rubio 17, Trump Jr. 14, DeSantis 7, Haley 4; und. 10
AtlasIntelOct. 28–Nov. 1GOP in 3,566 LVRubio 45.6, Vance 32.9, DeSantis 4.5, Trump Jr. 2.3
Harvard-HarrisOct. 24–26GOP in 2,700 RVVance 40, Trump Jr. 21, Rubio 21, RFK Jr. 8, Haley 4; DeSantis not asked
ClarityOct. 15–21413 LVVance 40, Rubio 17, Trump Jr. 17, DeSantis 9, RFK Jr. 5; und. 8
Echelon InsightsOct. 15–19417 LVVance 38, Rubio 20, DeSantis 12, Trump Jr. 7, Cruz 4; und. 10
Focaldata/FTOct. 2–5803 LVVance 38, Rubio 24, DeSantis 9, Trump Jr. 7, RFK Jr. 4; und. 12

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Simple average of the polls listed: Vance 37.8, Rubio 24.1, Trump Jr. 11.4, DeSantis 8.3 (5 of 6 polls; not asked in Harvard-Harris). A missing name is omitted, not counted as zero. Haley appeared in only 2 of the 6 polls (average 4.0).

Democratic primary

PollsterDatesSampleResult
McLaughlinOct. 30–Nov. 5471 LVHarris 28, Newsom 16, Buttigieg 9, AOC 9, Ossoff 7; und. 10
AtlasIntelOct. 28–Nov. 1Dems in 3,566 LVOssoff 18.2, AOC 17.6, Buttigieg 15.8, Harris 12.6, Kelly 9.1, Newsom 9.0
Harvard-HarrisOct. 24–26Dems in 2,700 RVHarris 34, Newsom 20, AOC 11, Buttigieg 10, Shapiro 8
LegerOct. 23–25375 AHarris 22, Newsom 11, Buttigieg 8, AOC 7, Shapiro 7
Echelon InsightsOct. 15–19522 LVHarris 19, Newsom 14, Buttigieg 13, AOC 13, Kelly 7; und. 7
NYT/SienaOct. 12–191,170 RVHarris 12, Newsom 9, Buttigieg 7, AOC 6, Ossoff 4; und. 45

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Simple average of the polls listed: Harris 21.3, Newsom 13.2, Buttigieg 10.5, Ocasio-Cortez 10.6, Ossoff 7.9. A missing name is omitted, not counted as zero. The NYT/Siena poll has 45% undecided, which pulls those candidate shares down. Among the other five polls only, the simple averages are Harris 23.1, Newsom 14.0, Buttigieg 11.2, Ocasio-Cortez 11.5 and Ossoff 8.6.

JD Vance vs. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (3 polls)

PollsterDatesSampleResultSpread
McLaughlinOct. 30–Nov. 51,000 GE votersVance 49 / AOC 39R+10
YouGov/BulwarkOct. 10–141,417 AVance 38 / AOC 40D+2
UMass Lowell/YouGovOct. 2–41,000 LVVance 42 / AOC 45D+3

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Simple average of the polls listed (3 polls): Vance 43.0, Ocasio-Cortez 41.3. The samples differ (general-election voters, adults and likely voters).

JD Vance vs. Gavin Newsom (2 polls)

PollsterDatesSampleResultSpread
YouGov/BulwarkOct. 10–141,417 AVance 36 / Newsom 41D+5
UMass Lowell/YouGovOct. 2–41,000 LVVance 42 / Newsom 46D+4

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Simple average of the polls listed (2 polls): Vance 39.0, Newsom 43.5. Only two recent verified polls. The samples differ (adults and likely voters).

Marco Rubio vs. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (2 polls)

PollsterDatesSampleResultSpread
McLaughlinOct. 30–Nov. 51,000 GE votersRubio 48 / AOC 38R+10
UMass Lowell/YouGovOct. 2–41,000 LVRubio 43 / AOC 43Tie

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Simple average of the polls listed (2 polls): Rubio 45.5, Ocasio-Cortez 40.5. Only two recent verified polls. The samples differ (general-election voters and likely voters).

Marco Rubio vs. Gavin Newsom (1 poll)

PollsterDatesSampleResultSpread
UMass Lowell/YouGovOct. 2–41,000 LVRubio 42 / Newsom 44D+2

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One recent verified poll; no average.

Other October matchups

PollsterDatesSampleResultSpread
YouGov/BulwarkOct. 10–141,417 AVance 36 / Buttigieg 38D+2
YouGov/BulwarkOct. 10–141,417 AVance 34 / Cuban 39D+5

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Both pairings are from the same YouGov/Bulwark poll of 1,417 adults, Oct. 10–14. Single poll for each pairing; no average.

JD Vance vs. Kamala Harris (August 2026)

PollsterDatesSampleResultSpread
Emerson CollegeAug. 16–171,000 LVVance 45 / Harris 49D+4

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This is the latest verified Vance–Harris poll, fielded in mid-August (Aug. 16–17, 2026). No October or November pollster release for this pairing was verified. One poll; no average. Undecided was 6, as listed on Wikipedia; Emerson’s own release states that Harris led Vance by four points.

How we calculate

Each poll on this page is taken from the pollster’s own release, or from a reliable listing of that release, and is linked from the pollster’s name. A row is left out if it cannot be sourced, or if it is outside the one-wave-per-pollster set used for that table, as noted on the page.

Emerson College’s Oct. 24–26 survey of 1,000 likely voters (approval 37-57, generic ballot 52-42) was in the same field window as other listed polls and is not in the 10-poll approval average or the 8-poll generic-ballot average.

Any average on this page is labeled “Simple average of the polls listed.” It is an unweighted average of the figures in that table, and only of those rows, rounded to one decimal place. It is not a weighted index and is not taken from an outside aggregator. A name that does not appear in a poll is omitted from that poll’s contribution to the average, not counted as zero. A pairing that has only one poll is shown without an average.

The approval and generic-ballot tables generally cover the most recent 30 days. The generic-ballot table is limited to pre-election polls of a forward-looking House ballot; recalled-vote surveys are listed separately. The 2028 primary and general-election tables may include older polls; the field dates are shown in each row. Dates are field dates, not release dates. Key: LV = likely voters, RV = registered voters, A = adults, GE = general-election voters. R+ Republican lead, D+ Democratic lead.

Related coverage

Earlier Politics Elections poll coverage remains on its existing pages. The race tables that previously appeared on this hub — including Arizona governor, Texas Senate and the 2026 toss-up boards — have been retired from this page.

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